简述教育预测中否定之否定规律的应用。
教育预测中对否定之否定规律的应用，反映了教育预测对象不断由低级到高级、由简单到复杂的螺旋式上升的发展过程，表明新事物必然代替或否定旧事物的道理。
教育预测受否定之否定规律的支配表现在，教育预测对象在一定的条件下，将要向它的反面转化;现存肯定的教育预测对象都包含着否定自身的某些因素;教育预测对象由旧变新的过程，是一个“扬弃”的过程，即在克服自身某些消极因素的同时，又保存其中的积极因素;否定教育预测对象的形式，取决于该对象所具有的特殊性。
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AccordingtoUKofficialstatistics,everyyearabout2000livesarelostthroughoccupationaldiseaseorinjury,about20,000majorindustrialinjuriesoccur(e.g.skullfracture,lossofsight)andthereareabout200,000injuriesresultinginaworkdisabilityof3daysormore.
YouaregoingtospendholidaysinHawaiiinJune.Suddenlyyoureceivedaletterfromanimportantcustomer,Mr.EltonDeland,whowillarriveon25thJuneanddiscusstheclaim.YouhavetodelaythetriptillJuly.
WriteashortmessagetoMs.AnneFolster,yoursecretary.
.ExplainWhyyoupostponeyourtrip.
.MentionthedatewhenMr.EltonDelandwillarrive.
.Askhertoarrangeyourmeeting.
.Write30-40wordsonyourAnswerSheet.
Howshopscanexploitpeople'sherdmentalitytoincreasesales
1.ATRIPtothesupermarketmaynotseemlikeanexerciseinpsychologicalwarfare—butitis.Shopkeepersknowthatfillingastorewiththearomaoffreshlybakedbreadmakespeoplefeelhungryandpersuadesthemtobuymorefoodthantheyhadintended.Stockingthemostexpensiveproductsateyelevelmakesthemsellfasterthancheaperbutlessvisiblecompetitors.Nowresearchersareinvestigatinghow“swarmintelligence”(thatis，howants，beesoranysocialanimal，includinghumans，behaveinacrowd)canbeusedtoinfluencewhatpeoplebuy.
2.AtarecentconferenceonthesimulationofadaptivebehaviourinRome，Zeeshan-ul-hassanUsmani，acomputerscientistfromtheFloridaInstituteofTechnology，describedanewwaytoincreaseimpulsebuyingusingthisphenomenon.Supermarketsalreadyencourageshopperstobuythingstheydidnotrealisetheywanted:forinstance，byplacingeverydayitemssuchasmilkandeggsatthebackofthestore，forcingshopperstowalkpastothertemptinggoodstoreachthem.MrUsmaniandRonaldoMenezes，alsooftheFloridaInstituteofTechnology，setouttoenhancethistendencytobuymorebyplayingontheherdinstinct.Theideaisthat，ifacertainproductisseentobepopular，shoppersarelikelytochooseittoo.Thechallengeistokeepcustomersinformedaboutwhatothersarebuying.
3.Entersmart-carttechnology.InMrUsmani'ssupermarketeveryproducthasaradiofrequencyidentificationtag，asortofbarcodethatusesradiowavestotransmitinformation，andeverytrolleyhasascannerthatreadsthisinformationandrelaysittoacentralcomputer.Asacustomerwalkspastashelfofgoods，ascreenontheshelftellshimhowmanypeoplecurrentlyintheshophavechosenthatparticularproduct.Ifthenumberishigh，heismorelikelytoselectittoo.
4.MrUsmani's“swarm-moves”modelappealstosupermarketsbecauseitincreasessaleswithouttheneedtogivepeoplediscounts.Anditgivesshoppersthesatisfactionofknowingthattheyboughtthe“right”product—thatis，theoneeveryoneelsebought.Themodelhasnotyetbeentestedwidelyintherealworld，mainlybecauseradiofrequencyidentificationtechnologyisnewandhasonlybeeninstalledexperimentallyinsomesupermarkets.ButMrUsmanisaysthatbothWal-MartinAmericaandTescoinBritainareinterestedinhiswork，andtestingwillgetunderwayinthespring.
5.Anotherrecentstudyonthepowerofsocialinfluenceindicatesthatsalescould，indeed，beboostedinthisway.MatthewSalganikofColumbiaUniversityinNewYorkandhiscolleagueshavedescribedcreatinganartificialmusicmarketinwhichsome14,000peopledownloadedpreviouslyunknownsongs.Theresearchersfoundthatwhenpeoplecouldseethesongsrankedbyhowmanytimestheyhadbeendownloaded，theyfollowedthecrowd.Whenthesongswerenotorderedbyrank，butthenumberoftimestheyhadbeendownloadedwasdisplayed，theeffectofsocialinfluencewasstilltherebutwaslesspronounced.Peoplethusfollowtheherdwhenitiseasyforthemtodoso.
6.InJapanachainofconvenienceshopscalledRanKingRanQueenhasbeenorderingitsproductsaccordingtosalesdatafromdepartmentstoresandresearchcompanies.Theshopssellonlythemostpopularitemsineachproductcategory，andtherankingsareupdatedweekly.Icosystem，acompanyinCambridge，Massachusetts，alsoaimstoexploitknowledgeofsocialnetworkingtoimprovesales.
7.Andthepsychologythatworksinphysicalstoresisjustaspotentontheinternet.OnlineretailerssuchasAmazonareadeptattellingshopperswhichproductsarepopularwithlike-mindedconsumers.Evenintheprivacyofyourhome，youcanstillbepartoftheswarm.
Questions1-6
Completethesentencesbelowwithwordstakenfromthereadingpassage.UseNOMORETHANTHREEWORDSforeachanswer.
1.Shopownersrealizethatthesmellof_______________canincreasesalesoffoodproducts.
2.Inshops，productsshelvedatamorevisiblelevelsellbettereveniftheyaremore_______________.
3.AccordingtoMr.Usmani，withtheuseof“swarmintelligence”phenomenon，anewmethodcanbeappliedtoencourage_______________.
4.Onthewaytoeverydayitemsatthebackofthestore，shoppersmightbetemptedtobuy_______________.
5.Ifthenumberofbuyersshownonthe_______________ishigh，othercustomerstendtofollowthem.
6.Usingthe“swarm-moves”model，shopownersdonothavetogivecustomers_______________toincreasesales.
Whatisagenerallyacknowledgedasthemostpowerfuladvertisingmediumandreachesabroadspectrumofconsumers.（）