某公司2011-2015年连续5年产品销售额的资料如题37表所示,试运用一次指数平滑法预测该公司2016年产品的销售额。(平滑系数α=0.2.计算结果保留小数点后两位)
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Directions: In this section, you will hear 10 short conversations. At the end of each conversation, a question will be asked about what was said. Both the conversation and the question will be spoken twice. After each question there will be a pause. During the pause you must read the four choices marked A),B),C)and D), and decide which is the best answer. Then mark the corresponding letter on the Answer Sheet with a single line through the center.
1. A) Do some typing.
B) Buy some paper.
C) Ask the man to type.
D) Want to run with the man.
2.A) 10:50
B) 10:15
C) 10:48
D) 10:52
3. A) Husband and wife.
B) A girl and her boyfriend.
C) Teacher and student.
D) Old friends.
4. A)Policeman.
B)Salesman.
C) Car driver.
D) Conductor.
5. A) In a school.
B) In a theater.
C) In a restaurant.
D) At home.
6. A) She agreed.
B) She disagreed.
C) She was impatient.
D) She was worried.
7. A) Something cold.
B) Coffee.
C) Tea.
D) Something hot.
8. A) Gold.
B) Blue.
C) Brown.
D) Black.
9. A) He didn ’knowtwhere to find the professor.
B) He had difficulty doing the experiment.
C) He failed the exam.
D) He couldn ’graduatetfrom the university.
10. A) The man is coughing.
B) The man gave up smoking.
C) The man has a lung disease.
D) The man has a heart attack
只有在我过度劳累的时候,在我长时间不间断地工作的时候,在我感到内心空虚,需要充实的时候,我才会感到寂寞。有时,外出演讲回来,见了许多人,讲了许多话,心中满是纷乱的体验需要整理,偶尔也会觉得孤独。于是有那么一会儿,我会感到整个房子非常大,空荡荡的。不知此时的自我又藏匿于何处。这时,我会给花草浇浇水,挨个瞅瞅,仿佛它们是活生生的人一样,或是喂喂两只小猫,亲手做顿饭菜,这样自我就慢慢地重新找回。
Once it was possible to define male and female roles easily by the division of labor. Men worked outside the home and earned the income to support their families, while women cooked the meals and took care of the home and the children. These roles were firmly fixed for most people, and there was not much opportunity for women to exchange their roles. But by the middle of this century, men’s and women’s roles were becoming less firmly fixed.
In the 1950s, economic and social success was the goal of the typical American. But in the 1960s a new force developed called the counterculture. The people involved in this movement did not value the middle-class American goals. The counterculture presented men and women with new role choices. Taking more interest in childcare, men began to share child-raising tasks with their wives. In fact, some young men and women moved to communal homes or farms where the economic and childcare responsibilities were shared equally by both sexes. In addition, many Americans did not value the traditional male role of soldier. Some young men refused to be drafted as soldiers to fight in the war in Vietnam.
In terms of numbers, the counterculture was not a very large group of people. But its influence spread to many parts of American society. Working men of all classes began to change their economic and social patterns. Industrial workers and business executives alike cut down on “overtime” work so that they could spend more leisure time with their families. Some doctors, lawyers, and teachers turned away from high paying situations to practice their professions in poorer neighborhoods.
In the 1970s, the feminist movement, or women’s liberation, produced additional economic and social changes. Women of all ages and at all levels of society were entering the work force in greater numbers. Most of them still took traditional women’s jobs as public school teaching, nursing, and secretarial work. But some women began to enter traditionally male occupations: police work, banking, dentistry, and construction work. Women were asking for equal work, and equal opportunities for promotion.
Today the experts generally agree that important changes are taking place in the roles of men and women. Naturally, there are difficulties in adjusting to these transformations.
1.Which of the following best express the main idea of Paragraph 1?
A.Women usually worked outside the home for wages.
B.Men and women’s roles were easily exchanged in the past.
C.Men’s roles at home were more firmly fixed than women’s.
D.Men and women’s roles were usually quite separated in the past.
2.Which sentence best expresses the main idea of Paragraph 2?
A.The first sentence.
B.The second and the third sentences.
C.The fourth sentence.
D.The last sentence.
3.In the passage the author proposes that the counterculture___.
A.destroyed the United States.
B.transformed some American values.
C.was not important in the United States.
D.brought people more leisure time with their families.
4.It could be inferred from the passage that___.
A.men and women will never share the same goals.
B.some men will be willing to exchange their traditional male roles.
C.most men will be happy to share some of the household responsibilities with their wives.
D.more American households are headed by women than ever before.
5.The best title for the passage may be ___.
A.Results of Feminist Movements
B.New influence in American Life
C.Counterculture and Its consequence
D.Traditional Division of Male and Female Roles.
Not really. It is shrewd business operations.
Part IV Translation:
One of them was from my school days, when our ninth grade teacher, Miss Raber, would pick out words from the Reader’s Digest to test our vocabulary. (Passage Four)
题目:Invitation Letter邀请与约见函
Part II Vocabulary and Structure
Directions: In this part there are forty incomplete sentences. Each sentence is followed by four choices. Choose the one that best completes the sentence and then mark your answer on the Answer Sheet.
21. the difficulties associated with the project, we’ll go on with it.
A. Given B. In spite of C. Thank to D. Because of
22. It was almost dark in the streets a few very powerful spotlights.
A. excluding B. but for C. except D. except for
23. today, he would get there by Friday.
A. Would he leave B. If he leaves
C. Was he leaving D. Were he to leave
24. He gave me some very advice on buying a house.
A. precious B. expensive C. wealthy D. dear
25. His goal is not to become a sportsman, a champion in a certain field.
A. but rather became B. but rather to become
C. but rather becoming D. but rather to becoming
26. I just met her on the way home from the bookstore.
A. on purpose B. by accident C. in accident D. in case
27. I don’t know about him, comment on him behind his back.
A. let alone B. let go C. leave alone D. take leave
28. My transistor radio is out of order. It .
A. need to be repaired B. need repairing
C. needs repairing D. needs to repair
29. No one could tell us anything about the stranger.
A. conscious B. mysterious C. serious D. previous
30. Mary all foolish comments and kept on working.
A. excluded B. ignored C. denied D. discharged
31. I agree with him , but not entirely.
A. until a certain point B. to some point
C. to some extent D. until a certain extent
32. People in some parts of the world often take their water for . they use as much water as they wish.
A. granted B. sure C. certain D. pleasure
33. Color-blind people often find it difficult to between blue and green.
A. separate B. compare C. contrast D. distinguish
34. Thousands of people on the city to welcome the visiting guests.
A. turned off B. turned up C. turned out D. turned over
35. The mountain place is beautiful, but the working conditions, it’s terrible.
A. when mentioned B. when it comes to
C. when it is said D. when it dies to
36. Are you spending more money on the space program?
A. in favor of B. by favor of C. in favor to D. out of favor
37.In the of my parents, standards of education in the public school are actually falling.
A. idea B. thought C. opinion D. principle
38. from space, our earth, with water covering 70% of its surface, appears as a “blue planet”.
A. Seeing B. To be seen C. Seen D. having seen
39. This year’s total output value of industry and agriculture will increase 5 percent over last years.
A. by B. to C. of D. with
40. Mary is the top student in the class. She studies harder .
A. than any student B. than all the students
C. than any other student D. than some other student
41. Many people have applied for the position.
A. empty B. bare C. vacant D. blank
42. My new shoes cost me 50 yuan (RMB). The price was that the last pair I bought a month ago.
A. two time more than B. twice as much as
C. as twice D. as much as twice
43. Almost everyone failed on the first day.
A. pass his driver’s test B. to have passed his driver’s test
C. to pass his driver’s test D. passing his driver’s test
44. Over the traditional festival people visit each other and greetings.
A. exchange B. wish C. congratulate D. present
45. It was because he was tired out that he fell asleep standing up.
A. publicly B. openly C. specially D. obviously
46. The young man was accused of the lady of her money.
A. stealing B. robbing C. taking D. grasping
47. No matter where our Party needs us, we will her call.
A. give answer for B. respond to
C. have response to D. answer to
48. It is astonishing that a person of your intelligence be cheated so easily.
A. could B. should C. might D. would
49. We were completely when we finally reached the destination.
A. worn off B. worn down C. worn out D. worn away
50. Many things impossible in the past are common today.
A. considered B. to consider C. considering D. to be considered
51. Not until many years later known.
A. was the whole truth become B. did the whole truth become
C. the whole truth became D. the whole truth had became
52. We didn’t know his telephone number, otherwise we him.
A. would telephone B. would have telephoned
C. had telephoned D. must have telephoned
53. There is no point with him, since he has already made up his mind.
A. argue B. to argue C. in arguing D. of arguing
54. I appreciate that letter for me.
A. you to write B. your writing C. you write D. that you writing
55. I’d like to a special seat for the connect of May 5.
A. serve B. reserve C. preserve D. conserve
56. that son is well again, you no longer have anything to worry about.
A. Since B. Now C. When D. After
57. Generally speaking, all kinds of materials will expand when heated but will when cooled.
A. contrast B. contract C. survive D. return
58. You won’t know if it fits you until you it on.
A. will try B. are trying C. are to try D. have tried
59. After all efforts in vain, he had to accept the result .
A. regularly B. shallowly C. physically D. painfully
60. The rest of his life is to the cause of international exchanges of visiting scholars.
A. added B. put C. saved D. committed
Part III Cloze
Directions: There are twenty blanks in the following passage. For each blank there are four choices. Choose the one that best fits into the passage and then marks your answer on the Answer Sheet.
What makes a child speak a language has long been a puzzle to linguists. 61 speaking, there are two schools of linguists, both of whom try to explain 62 a child picks up a language so easily. The fact that a child picks a language 63 is 64 : At one year old, a child is able to say “bye-bye”; at two, he is able to use fifty; by there he begins to 65 tenses. The famous American linguist Noam Chomsky 66 that human being have a sort of built-in system for language use, and that the 67 is 68 . Children are not taught language 69 they are taught arithmetic. Other linguists, 70 , hold the view that a child learns 71 of his language from the hints in the environment. 72 , theorists of both schools 73 that there is a biological basis for language use. The 74 is which is more important, the inner ability or the environment. This is certainly a field 75 to be explored. Researchers from both schools are busy finding evidence to 76 their own theory, but 77 side is persuading the other.
It seems that in order to 78 why a child learns a language so easily, we have to 79 the joint efforts of both schools. Some linguist, like De Villiers, has recognized the value of cooperation, and 80 linguists of both sides to work together.
61. A. Surprisingly B. Personally C. Properly D. Roughly
62. A. that B. when C. why D. how
63. A. independently B. naturally C. without help D. with ease
64. A. confusing B. surprising C. questioned D. suspected
65. A. master B. study C. have D. get
66. A. doubts B. believes C. realizes D. criticizes
67. A. help B. teacher C. environment D. hint
68. A. quite essential B. very important C. not necessary D. only secondary
69. A. as B. for C. when D. though
70. A. in particular B. as a result C. however D. therefore
71. A. a little B. some C. nothing D. most
72. A. Before B. From now on C. Just now D. By now
73. A. suspect B. disagree C. agree D. realize
74. A. case B. argument C. problem D. question
75. A. waiting B. planning C. never D. unlikely
76. A. provide B. create C. supply D. support
77. A. not a B. one C. neither D. either
78. A. find out B. rule out C. search for D. look for
79. A. get rid of B. trust in C. rely on D. persist in
80. A. ordered B. criticized C. challenged D. urged
36、 Joan Smith wrote the recommendation letter on behalf of ______.
A. a Dutch citizen
B. herdsman families
C. the European consumer
D. Sand River and its CEO
37、 From the letter we can learn that Sand River ______.
A. has long-term links with herdsmen
B. employs many herdsman workers
C. manufactures advanced machines
D. sells hand-made products
38、 The target consumers of the newly-established cashmere brand are ______.
A. college students
B. blue-color workers
C. high-income women
D. average herdsman families
39、 By saying "a woman of her word" (Para. 3), the writer means that Mrs.King ______.
A. always keeps her promise
B. is a good public speaker
C. knows customers well
D. is well educated
40、 As far as the European market is concerned,the writer thinks that Sand River products ______.
A. are fit for supermarkets in big cities
B. are likely to enjoy a big market share
C. will appeal to different kinds of customers
D. deserve a place in luxurious department stores
试题">Dear Sir/Madam,
I am pleased to write a letter of recommendation on behalf of Sand River and its CEO, Mrs. Jane King. I am very familiar with the company. My next book deals with it in detail, which is to be published in autumn of 2018. I am also familiar with European consumer. As a Dutch citizen, I have lived in Europe for 46 years and studied European consumer behavior for decades.I believe that Sand River offers something unique to the European market. It has established long-term supply relations with herdsman ( 牧民) families and owns advanced German machinery. Thus it combines natural resources with modern manufacturing techniques. But equally important, Sand River works with modern fashion designers to create truly contemporary and appealing designs. The result is a newly-established cashmere ( 羊绒) brand that appeals to a target group of high-income women. I met Mrs. King the first time in 2013. Since then, we have met several times and talked about Sand River's philosophy, strategy, and appeal to both Chinese and international consumers. I was struck by her deep knowledge about knitting (针织) technology, her enthusiasm for the brand, and her deep understanding of the cashmere shopper. I regard her as a "woman of her word." To summarize, I believe Sand River products deserve a place in luxurious European department stores and Mrs. King is a reliable partner. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact me. Sincerely, Joan Smith
36、 Joan Smith wrote the recommendation letter on behalf of ______.
A. a Dutch citizen
B. herdsman families
C. the European consumer
D. Sand River and its CEO
37、 From the letter we can learn that Sand River ______.
A. has long-term links with herdsmen
B. employs many herdsman workers
C. manufactures advanced machines
D. sells hand-made products
38、 The target consumers of the newly-established cashmere brand are ______.
A. college students
B. blue-color workers
C. high-income women
D. average herdsman families
39、 By saying "a woman of her word" (Para. 3), the writer means that Mrs.King ______.
A. always keeps her promise
B. is a good public speaker
C. knows customers well
D. is well educated
40、 As far as the European market is concerned,the writer thinks that Sand River products ______.
A. are fit for supermarkets in big cities
B. are likely to enjoy a big market share
C. will appeal to different kinds of customers
D. deserve a place in luxurious department stores
These figures are gross underestimates of the true incidence of occupational ill-health.